Wall Street Journal- Home Buyers Tiptoe Back In

Nicole Friedman • April 1, 2025

Even as Rates Fluctuate, Prices Stay High

Prospective home buyers are starting to move off the sidelines because life is moving on, even if mortgage rates and prices are stuck.

People who are having babies, retiring and getting new jobs are shopping for home according real-estate agents and buyers. Home tours and mortgage applications are up -- early signals that demand is rising as the Spring selling season gets under way.

   The housing market is still unaffordable to may would be buyers and it is too early to predict how the Spring market will develop. but some buyers said they are done waiting for mortgage rates to go back to 3%. They are going ahead with purchases because they are increasingly accepting that mortgage rates are likely to stay around current levels in the coming months, if not longer, rea-estate agents said. Aisha Jamil and Nathan Bhatti,, who have been off and on trying to buy their first home since 2020, finally took the plunge and purchase a 5 bedroom residence in Pineville, NC. 

   They had been frustrated with rising prices and mortgage rates that are more than double where they stood a few years ago. But they decided this year to move ahead.  "Compared to my siblings and all of our friends who are homeowners, it was not the best time" to buy, Jamil said. But "I think the best time to buy is when you can afford it," she added.

   Mortgage rates have held between 6%and 7% for most of the past year. They ticked down recently to 6.65% according to Freddie Mac. Mortgage purchase applications in the week ended March 21 rose 7% from a year earlier and real estate showings in the week ended March 27 were up 38% from early in the year, according to ShowingTime a subsidiary of Zillow Group. That compares with last year, when showings rose 26% in the same period. 

   First-time buyers eager to get into the market are moving farther from city centers to find something they can afford, said Kelli Kaspar, a real estate agent in Durham, NC. "Prices haven't come down in any meaningful way that they had that thought that they might, and interest rates have stayed inflated," she said. But "if it makes sense to them and their budget and their lifestyle they are doing it", she added.

   Sung Ji decided to buy a house in Seattle after he got a job offer that meant he would be staying the the city long term.  He and his wife had an offer accepted recently on a three bedroom house with a backyard. "I'm sure, looking back, there could have been a better time or alternately, there could have been a worse time" to buy, Ji said. "The question was, is there something we find that we think is worthwhile to take that leap of faith?"

   Home buying activity is still historically slow, as high home prices and current rates are making purchases expensive.  The typical monthly payment for a buyer purchasing a median priced home with 20% down payment was $2,807 in the four weeks ended March 23, a record high according to the real estate brokerage Redfin. Consumer sentiment meanwhile,  has declined, owing to concern about government layoffs, tariffs, funding cuts and immigration restrictions, all of which could deter some home buyers.

   Existing home sales plummeted in 2022 and 2023 as higher mortgage rates pushed many potential buyers to the sidelines. U.S. existing home sales fell in 2024 to the lowest level since 1995.  Sales of existing homes rose 4.2% in February from the prior month, far better than economists' expectations, though they were still down from February 2024.  If sales are stronger this Spring, the broader economy could reap the benefits. Business would improve for real estate brokerages and mortgage lenders, as well as stores that sell furniture and appliances. 

   An increase in the number of homes for sale is giving buyers more options to choose from.  Location matters a lot --- buyers in the Southeast and southwest have more negotiating leverage than those in the Northeast and Midwest, where is inventory is still low.  "The market is normalizing around these current mortgage rates," said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Financial. Jennifer Newcomer and her husband wanted to buy a house after getting married in 2023, but they decided to wait to see if mortgage rates would decline. This year, they started shopping anyway. Their two bedroom apartment was getting too small for them, and they didn't want to keep renting. "You can't pause your life for what rates are going to do," Newcomer said.

   The couple had an offer accepted recently for a three bedroom home in the Philadelphia suburbs that needs some renovations. They are planning to use  shorter term mortgage so they can build equity faster. " It's exciting that we'll have something that will be ours," she said.



By Lauren Conner November 20, 2024
Real Estate Market Outlook for the Remainder of 2024 and 2025 Market Trends for Sellers and Buyers: Interest Rates: According to Business Insider mortgage rates are projected to decline gradually through 2025. Current 30-year fixed rates hover around 6%, with predictions that they may drop closer to 5.8% by the end of 2025. This creates opportunities for buyers but could spur increased competition, keeping home prices steady or rising slightly​. I expect this to be a roller coaster ride for buyers watching interest rates well into 2025. Home Prices: Home prices are expected to grow moderately. In 2024, prices have increased by 2-3% across Hampton Roads due to limited inventory. This trend could continue in to 2025 as pressure on interest rates keeps buyers out of the market. . Inventory: The U.S. housing market still faces a significant shortage, with roughly 4.5 million homes needed to meet demand. However, when mortgage rates decline, more sellers might list their homes, improving availability slightly​. This move can increase competition amongst buyers so multiple competitive offers could be the norm. Prudent Strategies for Buyers and Sellers in This Market: Our team believes that a thoughtful well researched approach includes the following: For Sellers: Timing Matters: If mortgage rates decrease, more buyers will enter the market, which could increase demand for your property. Listing in 2025 might allow you to benefit from lower rates while avoiding a surge in competition among sellers. Pricing Strategy: Focus on realistic pricing. While prices are not expected to plummet, moderate growth suggests the need to avoid overpricing. Market Prep: As inventory grows, presenting a move-in-ready home with desirable features will set your property apart. For Buyers: Act Strategically: As rates decline, buyer competition may increase. Act decisively, but ensure affordability by locking in favorable rates when possible. Work with Professionals: Our agents at Conner and Company powered by Howard Hanna are experienced and can help navigate competitive markets and identify hidden opportunities, especially in tight inventory conditions. Overall, the market in 2025 may become more accessible as rates drop and inventory grows, but competition could intensify. Buyers, sellers, and investors should approach the market with clear strategies tailored to evolving economic conditions. If you have questions or need information just give us a call or reach out on this site.
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